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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Biden will attend the virtual meeting of the Group of Seven scheduled for 9: 30am EST (9: 30pm Beijing time).Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.

Zhao Dejian, vice president of Shandong Jiaotong University, was examined and investigated. According to the news from the Supervision Committee of Shandong Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Zhao Dejian, member of the Party Committee and vice president of Shandong Jiaotong University, is suspected of serious violation of the law and is currently under disciplinary review and supervision investigation by the Supervision Committee of Shandong Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection.Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.

Hong Kong Monetary Authority: In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. On December 13, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the main analytical accounts of the Exchange Fund at the end of November 2024. In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. The monetary base is HK$ 1,950.1 billion, including certificates of indebtedness, notes and coins in circulation issued by the government, balances in the banking system and issued Exchange Fund bills and bonds. Claims on the private sector in Hong Kong amounted to HK$ 287.8 billion. Total external liabilities amounted to HK$ 28 billion.The central bank's open market will have 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due next week. This week, the central bank's open market has carried out 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations. Due to the expiration of 354.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchase, the net investment for the whole week is 184.4 billion yuan. The data shows that there will be 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due in the open market of the central bank next week, including 47.1 billion yuan, 141.6 billion yuan, 78.6 billion yuan, 66.1 billion yuan and 205.1 billion yuan due from Monday to Friday respectively. In addition, there will be 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 120 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits due next Monday.China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.